Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.657519 0.735869 0.820906 0.920230 1.033271 1.158169 1.306957
2025-02-23 0.539532 0.647395 0.773970 0.934219 1.132750 1.371987 1.684146
2025-03-02 0.458457 0.575435 0.719860 0.912711 1.165623 1.488951 1.938323
2025-03-09 0.415815 0.541639 0.703665 0.929897 1.241244 1.659971 2.274744
2025-03-16 0.373541 0.501785 0.672828 0.920792 1.276316 1.775705 2.544659
2025-03-23 0.345067 0.476524 0.657484 0.928937 1.333020 1.923893 2.875073
2025-03-30 0.314983 0.445556 0.630330 0.915946 1.355480 2.021662 3.137911
2025-04-06 0.291357 0.421357 0.610071 0.910030 1.386223 2.132801 3.432365
2025-04-13 0.262418 0.386702 0.571081 0.871240 1.360699 2.150930 3.573107
2025-04-20 0.248934 0.374109 0.564089 0.881260 1.413378 2.299818 3.953381
2025-04-27 0.237023 0.362859 0.557993 0.891660 1.466863 2.454360 4.361537
2025-05-04 0.225651 0.351488 0.550603 0.898857 1.514883 2.603315 4.776881
2025-05-11 0.214165 0.339341 0.541402 0.902830 1.558825 2.751837 5.216208
2025-05-18 0.205742 0.331615 0.538913 0.918195 1.624802 2.948291 5.778941
2025-05-25 0.191632 0.313298 0.517046 0.896974 1.620524 3.010012 6.071342
2025-06-01 0.185183 0.307549 0.516293 0.913836 1.689760 3.222201 6.713740
2025-06-08 0.175160 0.294875 0.502391 0.904907 1.707572 3.332345 7.145778
2025-06-15 0.168522 0.287693 0.497708 0.912894 1.759535 3.518094 7.776739
2025-06-22 0.159417 0.275484 0.483005 0.900155 1.767710 3.611308 8.202104
2025-06-29 0.151962 0.265803 0.472293 0.894354 1.789647 3.736526 8.723735
2025-07-06 0.140834 0.248690 0.446547 0.856312 1.739222 3.694623 8.818225
2025-07-13 0.136552 0.244109 0.444330 0.866139 1.793737 3.897980 9.578453
2025-07-20 0.132569 0.239840 0.442401 0.876339 1.849944 4.111500 10.400336